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The Unelectable Mr Corbyn

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The Unelectable Mr Corbyn

Post  cyprussyd on 2016-03-19, 6:20 pm

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour take a LEAD in the opinion polls as Tory wars over Europe take a toll on David Cameron's party 

  • YouGov poll of 1,000 voters revealed a slender 1 per cent advantage 

  • Analysts suggest the Labour lead was not because of Corbyn's leadership

  • Instead Tory infighting over the referendum seen as the biggest factor  

  • Results come after months of big Tory leads and improbable election win 

  • A boost for embattled Labour leader ahead of crucial elections in May 


By TIM SCULTHORPE, MAILONLINE DEPUTY POLITICAL EDITOR
PUBLISHED: 10:12, 18 March 2016 UPDATED: 12:59, 18 March 2016
Labour has taken a slender one point lead in the latest opinion poll despite the unpopularity of leader Jeremy Corbyn.
The narrow advantage in YouGov's latest survey was blamed on a fall in support for the Tories because of the bitter infighting over Europe in David Cameron's party.
But the lead will still come as a boost to Mr Corbyn who faces his first major election test as Labour leader within weeks as major polls are due in the devolved parliaments, London and councils across England.
The poll, the first since Wednesday's Budget, also revealed just 13 per cent of people think George Osborne's plans will leave the country better off, compared to 29 per cent who think the nation will be worse off. The biggest group, 41 per cent, think the Budget will make no overall change. 
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The YouGov poll indicated the narrowest of Labour leads but the results indicate a significant shift since the Tories won an unexpected majority at last year's general election 
Mr Corbyn has been hit by a string of polls since his improbable Labour leadership win last year that suggest he is deeply unpopular with the country at large despite the enthusiasm of his own activists.
Earlier this week, an ICM poll suggested Labour had drawn level with the Conservatives - but even the firm itself said it was a 'rogue' result based on an oversampling of Labour voters.
The Tories have been comfortably ahead in all opinion polls since their surprise general election victory last year.
In the new survey, for The Times, Labour is on 34 per cent to the Conservatives' 33 per cent. 


Ukip are back in third place on 16 per cent while the Liberal Democrats remain marooned in single figures on six per cent.
Explaining the Labour lead, Anthony Wells, YouGov's director, told The Times: 'It is reasonable to conclude that Euro squabbles are hurting the (Conservative's) image.'
On Monday, ICM dismissed suggestions from its own survey that Mr Corbyn's party was making progress.
In an extraordinary statement, the firm described the poll for the Guardian newspaper, as ‘rather stunning, yet methodologically perturbing’.
Like other pollsters, ICM is developing a new method for adjusting its findings to reflect likely turnout, following the industry’s failure to foresee last year’s Tory election victory.
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Labour MP Pat Glass said this week's Budget and the 'Tory euroshambles' had helped Labour to a one point lead over the Conservatives
ICM said this new method would have given the Conservatives a three-point lead if it had been applied to yesterday’s poll.
It added: ‘The word ''rogue'' is too often used in polling analysis, but in our view it is hard to believe this phone poll will escape such labelling.’ 

Labour is facing grim results at May's elections.
The party is widely expected to lose control of the Welsh Assembly in Cardiff Bay - partly driven by a surge in support for Ukip, who could claim their first ever seats in Wales.
Setbacks are also expected in local elections in England as Labour attempts to defend good results achieved in 2012.
The party is in a tight battle for second place with the Conservatives at elections to the Scottish Parliament in Edinburgh. The SNP are far ahead and are expected to increase their majority.
London offers Mr Corbyn's best hope of a good result as Sadiq Khan leads Tory Zac Goldsmith in polling on the race for City Hall


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3498486/Jeremy-Corbyn-s-Labour-LEAD-opinion-polls-Tory-wars-Europe-toll-David-Cameron-s-party.html#ixzz43NGh0R7v 
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Re: The Unelectable Mr Corbyn

Post  Hieronymus on 2016-03-19, 6:25 pm

Got to love the Daily Fail, and the inevitability of trying to turn a positive for Labour into a negative. I think people are starting to see through all the lies and spin now though. IDS's resignation has put the cat among the pigeons within the Tory Party and Labour must capitalise on their current disarray.
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Re: The Unelectable Mr Corbyn

Post  cyprussyd on 2016-03-19, 6:44 pm

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Re: The Unelectable Mr Corbyn

Post  cyprussyd on 2016-03-19, 6:53 pm

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Re: The Unelectable Mr Corbyn

Post  Silvers on 2016-03-19, 7:26 pm

Hieronymus wrote: IDS's resignation has put the cat among the pigeons within the Tory Party......

Down the line, I can see a comedy film being made of this govt ..

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